Two pollsters who got it right last time are seeing a different outcome in 2020

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Final polls rolling in

IBD/TIPP and Rasmussen were two of the pollsters who correctly predicted a Trump upset four years ago. This time, it’s a different story.

Rasmussen today is out with its final poll for the election and it shows Biden +1 nationally. Of course that’s within the striking distance of Trump winning the electoral college but they also have Biden +3 in Pennsylvania and +1 in Florida. Without both of those states, Trump has no chance.

IBD/TIPP’s had Trump +2 in its final poll in 2016. He lost the popular vote by 2.1 points but they have long taken credit for predicting his win. This time, they see Biden +3.

Four keys to Biden’s chances remain in place: Suburban voters back the
Democrat by a solid margin. Wayward Trump voters are costing the
president a small but significant share of his 2016 support. Meanwhile,
Biden holds a wide advantage among those who voted for a third party or
didn’t vote in 2016.

They do note some slipping for Biden though in the past few daily polls.

“Biden’s support had held at 50% or higher for six straight days, before slipping to 48.8% over the past three days,” they write.

Importantly, they also note that Biden has an 8-point edge in swing states.

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This article was originally published by Forexlive.com. Read the original article here.