Share: Equities are focused on the good news, not the risks, economists at UBS report. A resolution to the US’s debt ceiling remains elusive “While a last-minute deal remains our expectation, the current large gap between the demands from both sides mean that investors should brace for more volatility in markets in the lead-up to
FX
NZD/USD takes the bids to refresh intraday high, bracing for the biggest daily gains in a week. Upbeat New Zealand Building Permits, softer yields direct buyers towards monthly resistance line. US ISM, S&P Global PMIs precede speech from RBNZ’s Orr, New Zealand Q3 jobs report to entertain pair traders. Hawkish hopes from RBNZ lure bulls
NZD/USD seesaws around 0.5800 amidst overall US Dollar strength. A mixed sentiment keeps some high-beta currencies trending higher, though capped by a buoyant greenback. The US 3-month/10-year yield curve is inverted, exacerbating recession fears. The NZD/USD slightly advanced during the mid-North American session, despite overall US Dollar strength, though the New Zealand dollar, after reaching
USD/INR remains mildly bid while paring the previous weekly losses. Downbeat China data, risk-off mood propel prices even as WTI crude oil drops. Hopes of RBI’s inaction join hawkish Fed bets to keep buyers hopeful. USD/INR picks up bids to consolidate the previous week’s losses around 82.40 during early Monday in Europe. In doing so,
The pound bounces up on Friday to retest the 1.5800 support area. Lower oil prices and a dovish BoC have hit the CAD. GBP/CAD: Above 1.5800, the pair eyes 1.6000 area. The British pound has performed a surprising comeback against the Canadian dollar on Friday, bouncing up from the 1.5655 area to reverse Thursday’s decline and
GBP/JPY registered solid gains during the week of 2.72%. The Bank of Japan interventions gave GBP/JPY buyers a better entry price around the weekly lows of 165.43. The GBP/JPY remains upward biased, about to test the February 2016 high at 175.01. The GBP/JPY rallies to fresh six-year highs above the 170.00 threshold as the Japanese
The US Dollar got bolstered by US core PCE but weakened towards the close of Wall Street. GDP in France and Spain weakened, while inflation in Germany continued its uptrend, above 10%. EURUSD is neutral-to-downward biased, though slightly tilted to the upside, facing strong resistance at the 100-DMA. The EURUSD finished Friday’s session almost flat
The pressure on long yields is set to ease as central bank rates and inflation approach a turning point, explained analysts at Danske Bank. They expect markets to increasingly price inflation to come under control, amid a deteriorating growth outlook. Therefore they continue to see yields peaking in 2022 (if they don’t have already in
The US dollar stalls around 147.50 after rallying from session lows near 146.00. The pair appreciates 0.8% on the day following a two-day reversal. US macroeconomic data has left the USD looking for direction. The sharp greenback rally witnessed during Friday’s Asian and early European trading sessions, has lost steam after hitting 147.85. The pair, however,
USD/JPY fades the bounce off a three-week low as BOJ defends easy money policy. BOJ keeps monetary policy unchanged, as expected, stays cautiously optimistic on economic outlook Easing hawkish Fed bets, downbeat yields also keep pair sellers hopeful ahead of Fed’s preferred inflation data. Kuroda’s presser, Japan’s supplementary budget will also be crucial for intraday
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, October 28 at 03:00 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the expectations forecast by the economists and researchers of nine major banks. Japanese main interest rate will likely be left at -0.1%, despite inflation standing at
The sharp rise in the yuan against the US dollar retraced some of the currency’s excessive depreciation this week, helped by a fall in the US Dollar Index, the 21st Century Business Herald reported, citing analysts. Key quotes “Many asset management institutions view the yuan as undervalued against the dollar, which had rallied on expectations
The Bank of Canada (BoC) hiked its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 3.75% at the end of the October policy meeting this Wednesday. The decision to slow the pace of policy tightening comes amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn and disappointed market participants anticipating a 75 bps rate hike. Market
Gold price has faltered on its previous rebound as the US dollar makes a comeback. Cooling aggressive Fed rate hike calls, China concerns and dismal US tech earnings weigh on risk sentiment. XAU/USD sees range play amid battle lines well-defined ahead of critical US events. Gold price is treading water in a familiar range around
Consumer confidence in the US deteriorated in October. US Dollar Index trades deep in negative territory below 111.00. The data published by the Conference Board showed on Tuesday that the Consumer Confidence Index declined to 102.5 in October from 107.8 in September (revised from 108). This reading came in worse than Reuters’ estimate of 105.9.
EUR/USD bulls attempting to make a break for it US dollar bears are pressing the bulls back below key trendline support. EUR/USD has been drifting to the upside as the US dollar tails off below micro daily trendline support as the following will illustrate. DXY has been pressured to below 111.50 but the pace of losses
EUR/USD fades from 0.99. In the view of analysts at Scotiabank, the world’s most popular currency pair could slip below the 0.98 level. Gains to the 0.99 area could not muster additional momentum “Intraday gains to the 0.99 area could not muster additional momentum to test key trend resistance, drawn off the Feb high, at
Gold price has declined sharply after testing the $1,670.00 hurdle amid wild DXY. Market sentiment is extremely positive as S&P500 futures have extended their gains. The odds for a hawkish Fed policy have resurfaced firmly above 94%. Gold price (XAU/USD) has picked offers while attempting to cross the critical hurdle of $1,670.00 in the Tokyo
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