Fed’s Mester: We are not in a recession now but recession rates have increased

News

Products You May Like

Cleveland Fed Pres. Loretta Mester

Cleveland Fed Pres. Loretta Mester speaking and says:

  • We’re are not in recession right now
  • Recession risks have gone up though
  • There is still path to soft landing
  • We have to take supply constraints as a given as they are likely to remain for some time
  • I don’t use yield curve as a strong indicator of where the economy is going
  • Given size of balance sheet, we should discuss selling some MBS
  • policy is working on the demand-side
  • but that moderating demand is not yet impact inflation
  • needs to see several months of inflation coming down
  • Firms still struggling to find workers

The comments are similar to ones made on Tuesday. Below are some of the things Mester said during a Washington Post interview:

  • she does not believe we are in a recession
  • US labor market is very healthy right now
  • We have not seen inflation cool at all
  • Growth will be below trend this year
  • The Fed is committed to bring inflation under control
  • we are starting to see slow down in investment, consumer spending and housing
  • Wants to see inflation to move down on a sustainable basis
  • we need to make sure inflation expectations don’t become entrenched
  • haven’t seen anything that suggests inflation even leveling off yet
  • I think will see some increase in unemployment as we go through the cycle but we need that to happen to make sure we get back to price stability
  • we have a narrow path to not sparking a large rising layoffs

The US stocks are trading mixed with the Dow down, the S&P near unchanged and the NASDAQ modestly higher.

In the US debt market, yields are lower in the short and then modestly higher in the long end:

  • 2 year 3.055%, -1.4 basis points
  • 5 year 2.792%, -3.6 basis points
  • 10 year 2.688%, -1.8 basis points
  • 30 year 2.978% +3.0 basis points

/inflation

Products You May Like

Articles You May Like

I wish I had known about THIS indicator earlier!! #shorts #trading
100% WIN RATE GOLD STRATEGY (Scalping & Day Trading)
All Traders Must Know This Secret #trading #tradingrules #stockmarket #forex #tradingsetup #fx
Managing Risk in Trading: The Key
Dabba Trading – The Trading Institute -india’s best financial school. #trading #shortsfeed

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *