Technical Analysis

NASDAQ index pushes toward the 50% midpoint The Nasdaq has moved to a new session high and in the process is pushing closer to the 50% midpoint of the move down from the all time high. That midpoint comes in at 14383.79. The high price has reached 14308.82. A move above that level is a

AUDUSD has moved back below its 100 hour moving average The  AUDUSD  broke below the 100 hour MA for the first time since March 16, and the break sent the pair from 0.7491 to the session low at 0.7466. That will was just above the swing lows from Thursday’s trade at 0.74656. There are now

The  USDJPY  continues to run to the upside. The pair is now approaching the 122.00 level. The high prices reach 121.965 so far. Moving above the 122.00 level and staying above would push the price toward the higher extremes on the weekly chart (see earlier post HERE). There may be some sellers against that 122.00

The USDJPY has moved up 13 the last 14 trading days and in the process has seen a move higher of 740 pips. Yield differentials between the US and the Japan rate has been a big contributor to the move higher (see post here). Euro 10 year yield – Japan 10 year yield spread widens

USDCAD runs away from its 200 day moving average The USDCAD is working on its eight straight day to the downside (stronger CAD). Adam Button talks to the fundamentals that are underlying the move into the loonie in his interview here. Technically, the move to the downside has been seen a bias shift to the

The JPY continues to get hit with the USDJPY, and the JPY crosses all pushing higher The  USDJPY  is now trading above the 122.00 level and has reached a high at 122.12. The price is now moving into the upper extreme area (see post here) The  EURJPY  has now moved above its 2021 high at

At the end of last week, I made the case for Canadian dollar gains, and I spoke about that on BNNBloomberg on Monday as well. It’s been a great week for that trade, with the loonie up every day. I would be cautious here. A close below 1.2500 would be the lowest this year but

AUD/JPY is modestly lower today in what would be the first daily decline after eight straight days of gains but it’s the weekly chart where I want to focus. It’s gone parabolic, adding 4% this week in the eighth consecutive week of gains. The rally this week blew through the 2017 high and is one

EURUSD solidifies support and resistance Guess what? The 200 hour MA held resistance in the  EURUSD  . Surprise. Surprise. The 200 hour MA (green line) has acted as a barometer for bullish and bearish going back to last week. There have been a number of moves above and below the moving average, but the price

The 50 basis point rate hike by the Bank of Mexico was as expected especially after the Mexican President inadvertently leaked it this morning. Nevertheless, the USDMXN is trading to new lows for the day. So at least the market saved a little reaction it seems. Looking at the daily chart, the USDMXN is, moving

The USDJPY has been up 11 of the last 12 days. The close yesterday was at 120.81. With the current price at 121.06, it looks like 12 of the last 13 days is the odds on favorite now. US 10 year to Japan 10 year yield spread If you were look at the run higher,

NZDUSD on the daily chart The  NZDUSD  has stretched to a new high. The price reached 0.69879. That move got the pair’s price within 8-9 pips of the 50% midpoint of the move down from the 2021 high and also within 13 pips of the natural resistance target at the 0.7000 level. The high today

AUDUSD held the swing area support and moved higher The  Nasdaq  and S&P are trading near highs for the day, and that is helping the “risk-on” flows in pairs like the  AUDUSD  . Technically, as posted earlier, the price did take out the 2022 high at 0.7440, rising to 0.74474 in the process, but the

On March 14, the Nasdaq closed below the February swing low at 12587.88 and reached a new low for 2022 at 12555.35. Since then, the price has moved up 12.41%. The S&P index is up 8.35% over that time. The moves to the upside comes amidst a rise in 10 year yields from 2.02% to

The USD is getting a boost higher against all the major currencies. The USD is the strongest of the majors. The USDJPY is trading to a new 6 year high and is the biggest mover with a 0.33% gain so far today. USDJPY. The  USDJPY  is trading to a new 6 year high (going back

The AUDUSD is moving higher as commodities move higher and so do benchmark yields. The price of crude oil is continuing to step higher with the April contract up at $107.70. Gold is up around $6.50. Silver is up $0.17 on the day. In the Australian debt market the benchmark 10 year yield has moved

2-10 year spread in the US is near lows since March 2020 The US 2 vs 10 year spread ended the week near 21 basis points last week, and near the lowest levels since the start of the pandemic in March 2020. During that pandemic time period, the spread moved to a low of 8

The major indices are opening lower, but off their premarket low levels as well. The S&P and NASDAQ are still down for the first time in four days but on track for the best week since February 2021. The Dow is on track for its best week since November 2020. A snapshot of the market