News

A quickie from a JPM note on the US equities. Looking for much greater gains, citing: Expectations of many key risks subsiding (e.g. U.S. elections, pandemic and vaccine news, etc.) clearing the path to a more positive forward outlook” While there has been some upward pressure on rates, central bank policy continues to be accommodative
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Markets are generally rather quiet in Asian session today, with Thanksgiving holiday in the US in sight. Risk markets are taking a breather after the earlier rally, so do the selloffs in Dollar, Yen and Swiss Franc. Nevertheless the trio remain the weakest ones for the week. On the other hand, New Zealand and Australian
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AUDNZD sell on rallies now?   On Tuesday the RBNZ prompted a sharp spike higher in the NZ 10 year bond yields. From here the RBA is focuses on keeping short term yields close to the OCR and that could leave AUD yields slightly below NZD yields until there is a dovish shift from the RBNZ.
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The minutes for the FOMC meeting in November shows that policymakers were cautiously optimistic about the economic recovery and the impacts of the monetary policy tools on the economic outlook. As negative interest rate has been ruled out, the Fed’s future policy tool is dependent on asset purchases (QE). We are not surprised to see
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Weekly oil inventory data from the EIA Prior was +769K Gasoline +2180K vs +1150K exp Distillates -1441K vs -2250K Refinery utilization +1.3% vs +0.7% exp API numbers from late yesterday: Crude +3800K Gasoline +1300K Distillates -1800K Cushing -1400K This is a larger surprise than it appears because there was some oil selling on the API
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Biden transitional team reporting The Biden transitional team is reporting that the president elect will announce key members of his economic team next week.  They also announced that they have been briefed on operation warp speed and Covid response, and are expected to receive 1st residential daily intelligence briefing on Monday. In other news from Washington,
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The sporting legend is dead at 60 Argentina’s Clarin reports that football legend Diego Armando Maradona is dead at the age of 60. The report says he died this morning at a house in the in the Buenos Aires where he had been recuperating from an Oct 30 operation. He had brain surgery for a
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CDC data today US coronavirus deaths rose by 1989 yesterday; that’s only about 10% below the April peak. There were 165,282 new cases and that’s a bit of good news because a week earlier cases were at 177,000. All else equal, US cases are likely plateauing but given that today is the biggest travel day
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