Oil – ANZ pencil in a 3-month OPEC+ delay of output increase

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Comments via ANZ commodity research/analysis (in brief from a much longer report):

  • A COVID-19 vaccine could draw a line in the sand for the oil market. 
  • However, there are major hurdles to overcome before it can assume the worst is over. 
  • Weak demand will see a 2mb/d surplus in H1-21.
  • This should see OPEC delay output increases by 3mth 

ANZ picture the movement cliff:

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